Publications

  1. Kasaie P, Zhao Y, Humes E, Gerace L, Reid K, Lesko CR, Kurgansky KE, Koethe JR, Rebeiro PF, Bourgi K, Erlandson KM, Gebo K, KN Althoff. Impact of an Early Body Mass Index Maintenance Intervention at ART initiation on Diabetes Risk: Insights from a Simulation Study medRxiv. 2025 Nov 6:2025-11.

  2. Althoff KN, Stewart C, Humes E, Gerace L, Boyd C, Gebo K, Hyle EP, Coburn SB, Silverberg MJ, Horberg MA, Lima VD, Gill MJ, Karris K, Rebeiro PF, Kasaie P. The forecasted prevalence of comorbidities and multimorbidity in people with HIV in the United States through the year 2030: A modeling study PLoS medicine. Jan 12 2024. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pmed.1004325.

  3. Kasaie P, Stewart C, Humes E, Gerace L, Hyle EP, Zalla LC, Rebeiro PF, Silverberg MJ, Rubtsova AA, Rich AJ, Gebo K, Lesko CR, Fojo A, Lang R, Edwards JK, Althoff KN. Impact of subgroup-specific heterogeneities and dynamic changes in mortality rates on forecasted population size, deaths, and age distribution of persons receiving antiretroviral treatment in the United States: a computer simulation study Annals of epidemiology. 2023 Nov 1;87:69-78.

  4. EP Hyle, P Kasaie, T Stanic, E Humes, KP Reddy, P Rebeiro, E Schwamm, J Zhang, P Pei, C Stewart, KA Freedberg, A Mayor, L Yu, J Margolick, FM Shebl, M Silverberg, RP Walensky, KN Althoff. A growing number of men who have sex with men aging with HIV (2021–2031): a comparison of two microsimulation models The Journal of Infectious Diseases. January 2 2023. https://doi.org/10.1093/infdis/jiac473.

  5. Althoff KN, Stewart CN, Humes E, Gerace L, Boyd CM, Gebo K, Justice AC, Hyle E, Coburn S, Lang R, Silverberg MJ, Horberg M, Lima VD, Gill MJ, Karris M, Rebeiro PF, Thorne J, Rich AJ, Crane H, Kitahata M, Rubtsova A, Wong C, Leng S, Marconi VC, D’Souza G, Kim HN, Napravnik S, McGinnis K, Kirk GD, Sterling TR, Moore RD, Kasaie P. The projected prevalence of comorbidities and multimorbidity in people with HIV in the United States through the year 2030 medRxiv 2022; doi: 10.11010/2022.11.04.22281891.

  6. Althoff KN, Stewart CN, Humes E, Zhang J, Gerace L, Boyd CM, Wong C, Justice AC, Gebo K, Thorne JE, Rubtsova AA, Horberg MA, Silverberg MJ Leng SX, Rebeiro PF, Moore RD, Buchacz K, Kasaie P. The shifting age distribution of people with HIV using antiretroviral therapy in the United States. AIDS 2021. doi: 10.1097/QAD.0000000000003128. Online ahead of print.
  7. Kasaie P, Stewart C, Humes E, Gerace L, Zhang J, Silverberg MJ, Horberg, MA, Rebeiro PF, Hyle EP, Lima VD, Wong C, Gill MJ, Gebo K, Moore R, Kitahata MM, Althoff KN. Projecting the age-distribution of men who have sex with men receiving HIV treatment in the United States. Annals of Epidemiology 2021 Oct 5;S1047-2797(21)00281-7. doi:10.1016/j.annepidem.2021.08.021. Online ahead of print.

Affiliated Publications

  1. medRxiv 2025 Costs associated with increasing numbers of Medicare beneficiaries with HIV aged 65 years and older from 2026 to 2035
    • Authors: Hyle EP, Ang L, Luu G, Kasaie P, Dai D, Koiso S, Phelan J, Ebem F, Duggan C, Humes E, Sax PE.

Invited presentations

  1. Office of AIDS Research Advisory Council presentation (Feb 2020) PEARL: Projecting age and multimorbidity among people on HIV treatment in the US to the year 2030
    • Presented by: Keri N Althoff, PhD, MPH

Abstracts – Oral presentations

  1. AIDS Society AIDS meeting 2024 Modelling the healthcare needs of an ageing population living with HIV. In the session: “Shifting tides: New modeling developments to inform country-specific response to the HIV pandemic”
    • Presented by: Keri N Althoff, PhD, MPH
  2. 25th International Workshop on Long-term Complications of HIV and SARS-CoV2 2023 Forecasted trends in age-related comorbidities and multimorbidity among people with HIV receiving ART in the US to 2030
    • Authors: Kasaie P, Humes E, Gerace L, Hyle E, and Althoff K
    • Presented by: Parastu Kasaie, PhD, MS
  3. CFAR Annual Meeting 2023 Forecasting comorbidity and multimorbidity in people with HIV in the US through 2030: Subgroups matter
    • Presented by: Keri N Althoff, PhD, MPH

  4. Infectious Disease Grand Rounds, Vanderbilt School of Medicine 2023 Forecasting comorbidity and multimorbidity in people with HIV in the US and Canada through 2030

  5. Virtual CROI 2021 MULTIMORBIDITY IN PEOPLE WITH HIV USING ART IN THE US: PROJECTIONS TO 2030
    • Authors: Parastu Kasaie, Cameron Stewart, Elizabeth Humes, Lucas Gerace, Kelly Gebo, Cynthia Boyd, Amy Justice, Peter Zandi, Richard Moore, Kate Buchacz, Viviane D. Lima, Amanda Willig, Cherise Wong, Keri N. Althoff
    • NAM Aidsmap, 8 March 2021
    • POZ, 16 March 2012
  6. 53rd meeting of the Office of AIDS Research Advisory Council 2020 Projecting age and multimorbidity among people on HIV treatment in the US to the year 2030
    • Presented by: Keri N Althoff, PhD, MPH
  7. SMDM Oct. 2019 Projecting the age distribution of people receiving HIV care in the United States: A simulation study
    • Authors: Parastu Kasaie, Elizabeth Humes, Jinbing Zhang and Keri N Althoff
  8. CFAR Annual Meeting 2018 Projecting the age distribution of white, Black and Hispanic MSM receiving ART in US, 2009-2030
    • Presented by: Keri N Althoff, PhD, MPH & Parastu Kasaie, PhD

Abstracts – Poster presentations

  1. 26th International Workshop on HIV & Hepatitis Observational Datasets 2024 Projecting the Impact of Post-ART Initiation Weight Maintenance on Diabetes Risk among Individuals Aging with HIV in the United States
    • Authors: Kasaie P, Lesko C, Humes E, Kurgansky K, Gerace G, and Althoff K,
  2. 14th International Workshop on HIV and Aging 2023 The forecasted prevalence of comorbidities and multimorbidity in persons who injected drugs receiving HIV care in the United States
    • Authors: Kasaie P, Stewart C, Humes E, Gerace G, and Althoff K.
  3. International Workshop on HIV &Aging 2023 The forecasted prevalence of comorbidities and multimorbidity in persons who injected drugs receiving HIV care in the United States
    • Authors: Kasaie P, Humes E, Gerace L, Hyle E, and Althoff K
  4. IWHOD 2022 Assessing the role of racial heterogeneity and temporal variations in models of mortality among MSM receiving HIV care in the US
    • Authors: Kasaie P, Stewart C, Humes E, Gerace L, Hyle E, Althoff KN of the PEARL modeling team (NA-ACCORD of IeDEA)
  5. CROI 2022 Morality rates with or without INSTI therapy in subgroups of PWH, 2009-2018
    • Authors: Althoff KN, Humes E, Kasaie P, Stewart C, Hyle EP, Rebeiro PF, Kooij K, Karris M, Marconi V, Nijhawan A, Klein MB, Gill MJ, Eron JJ, Moore RD
  6. Virtual CROI 2021 AGING AND THE HIV EPIDEMIC AMONG MSM IN THE US: A COMPARISON OF 2 SIMULATION MODELS
    • Authors: Emily P. Hyle, Parastu Kasaie, Eli L. Schwamm, Cameron Stewart, Krishna P. Reddy, Lucas Gerace, Pamela Pei, Elizabeth Humes, Fatma Shebl, Kenneth Freedberg, Rochelle P. Walensky, Keri N. Althoff
  7. AIDS/IAS 2020 Projecting the burden of multimorbidity among men who have sex with men living with HIV in the US
    • Authors: Parastu Kasaie, Cameron Stewart, Elizabeth Humes, Amy Justice, Michael A. Horberg, Viviane Lima, Cynthia Boyd, Mari M. Kitahata, Marina Klein, Cherise Wong, John Gill, Heidi M Crane, Sonia Napravnik, Amber D’Souza, Micheal Silverberg, and Keri N Althoff for the North American AIDS Cohort Collaboration on Research and Design (NA-ACCORD) of IeDEA
  8. IWHOD 2020 Age at ART initiation in the ‘Treat All’ era: Results from the PEARL Model
    • Authors: Dr. Parastu Kasaie, Cameron Stewart, Elizabeth Humes, Dr. Jinbing Zhang, Dr. Peter Rebeiro, Dr. Michael Horberg, Ashleigh Rich, Dr. Michael Silverberg, Dr. Emily Hyle, Dr. Keri Althoff The Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore USA Vanderbilt University Nashville USA Kaiser Permanente Mid-Atlantic States, Rockville USA. BC Centre for Excellence in HIV/AIDS, Vancouver Canada. Kaiser Permanente Division of Research Oakland USA Massachusetts General Hospital Boston USA
  9. IWHOD 2019 Projected age distribution of MSM on ART in the US (2015-2030): a comparison of two microsimulation models
    • Authors: Hyle E, Kasaie P, Stanic T, Humes E, Reddy KP, Zhang J, Freedberg KA, Rebeiro P, Yu L, Shebl FM, Walensky RP, and Althoff K, The International Workshop on HIV and Hepatitis Observational Databases (IWHOD)
  10. IWHOD 2019 Projecting the temporal trend in age distribution of men who have sex with men living with HIV who initiate and those who receive ART in the United States (2009 – 2030)
    • Authors: Kasaie P, Humes E, Zhang J, Hogg R, Gebo K, Mayor A, Hyle E, Rebeiro P, Williams C, Gill J, Moore R, Horberg M, Justice A, Boyd C, and Althoff K, The International Workshop on HIV and Hepatitis Observational Databases
  11. CROI 2019 THE PROJECTED AGE DISTRIBUTION OF WHITE, BLACK, AND HISPANIC MSM ON ART, 2009-2030
    • Authors: Parastu Kasaie, Elizabeth Humes, Stephen Gange, Amy Justice, Kelly Gebo, Cynthia Boyd, Emily Hyle, Carolyn Williams, Jinbing Zhang, Raquel Cruz-Stratton, Robert Hogg, Mari Kitahata, Richard Moore, and Keri N Althoff for the North American AIDS Cohort Collaboration on Research and Design (NA-ACCORD) of IeDEA
    • Research Collaborators: M John Gill, Michael Horberg, Angel Mayor, Peter Rebeiro, Michael Silverberg, Cherise Wong, Ronald Bosch, Steve Van Rompaey, Liz Morton
  12. CROI 2018 RATE AND RISK OF TRANSMISSIBLE HIV RNA (>1500 COPIES/ML) AMONG ADULTS ON ART
    • Authors: Keri N Althoff, Kate Buchacz, Richard D Moore, Stephen J Gange, Mari Kitahata, Michael A Horberg, Ronald Bosch, Jennifer S Lee, Jeffery Martin, Kenneth Mayer, Pragna Patel, Charles Rabkin, Jennifer Thorne, and John T Brooks for the North American AIDS Cohort Collaboration on Research and Design of IeDEA